Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 5:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 5:14:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 5:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,013.85
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005B8a1867Fcd79891fb8d1EFB02e4d6f930E474.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005B8a1867Fcd79891fb8d1EFB02e4d6f930E474.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 5:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,953.52 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005B8a1867Fcd79891fb8d1EFB02e4d6f930E474
Net sender
Unknown type
1,819.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0023C8f493dBdcb972cAa3E5a12094e7d7715113
Net sender
Unknown type
1,134.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
60.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005cA1059c1fE0F38760c5B031032CA24F785E05
Net receiver
Unknown type
60.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,953.52 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:14:08 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:12:57 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
3,025.48 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:15:19 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:11:46 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
2,010 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:10:35 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate1 tx
5,000 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:16:32 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
2,150 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:17:43 A.M.
-5 min
8 tx
2,079.38 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:09:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,819.3 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:14:35 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005B8a1867Fcd79891fb8d1EFB02e4d6f930E474
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1,819.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:14:35 A.M.
From: 0x005B8a1867Fcd79891fb8d1EFB02e4d6f930E474
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b0034c4ab6fb23b5ce07c3e647fc3092a76ad8b77e505442c46e3105f1f6f
1,134.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:14:35 A.M.
From: 0x0023C8f493dBdcb972cAa3E5a12094e7d7715113
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00160006f7f96b4b3b6e49d016bad6db2a6573df0bc690f6a7dcb2cac404af7f
60.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:14:22 A.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x005cA1059c1fE0F38760c5B031032CA24F785E05
Tx: 0x00150037cd899b28becee88ed975a3e01d6ff5f0db7ce16509302a50d3c5879e