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Spike bucket

09/15/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/15/2026, 5:09:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 5:10:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,736.7
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
2,079.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000aBEC827E09e574B246D571de893758D3d831B • 0x005B8a1867Fcd79891fb8d1EFB02e4d6f930E474.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2079 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000aBEC827E09e574B246D571de893758D3d831B • 0x005B8a1867Fcd79891fb8d1EFB02e4d6f930E474.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x000aBEC827E09e574B246D571de893758D3d831B
Net sender
Unknown type
1,820 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005B8a1867Fcd79891fb8d1EFB02e4d6f930E474
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,820 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
526.7 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0053D0716fC922F5BB69dD2c52362e6BCcac6C6E
Balanced
Unknown type
390 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003A1C1b7CFEa82ad2CF8b48F59b72E61E7786fd
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 526.7 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

1,820 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:09:25 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000aBEC827E09e574B246D571de893758D3d831B
To: 0x005B8a1867Fcd79891fb8d1EFB02e4d6f930E474

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
190 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:09:57 A.M.
From: 0x0053D0716fC922F5BB69dD2c52362e6BCcac6C6E
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x00560051e9ea067b7cf85b83550eabc3f6eeaabf432f31f4b8be2b8813b9b4b8
1,820 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:09:25 A.M.
From: 0x000aBEC827E09e574B246D571de893758D3d831B
To: 0x005B8a1867Fcd79891fb8d1EFB02e4d6f930E474
Tx: 0x0048003f9e1596ecde8806424d2bba00f8735e6d6b67f1a5ec2e4c390004bc66
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x003A1C1b7CFEa82ad2CF8b48F59b72E61E7786fd
To: 0x0053D0716fC922F5BB69dD2c52362e6BCcac6C6E
Tx: 0x004c003248aa71b9591c86b09f4c168974933debd1677ae562e6d3d3b4892a68
107.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00450035d35caaf0b2dd2b03066ea5c95fab5246d9a3dcf1d2a0ceaa9e2198c3
Open txWallet profile
100.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f0003e213fd9b8e0f007cd09477dc726a03fa213eb51ce27c6f8bd9cc3455
Open txWallet profile
107.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e007cf0318fdb03331ba266f1d568aac5195c709a36eef228f68bf743fd36
Open txWallet profile
101.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0012005314238bcd114a625a70d1adcaaf0106b0d4edcce530168214f9deaa92
Open txWallet profile
109.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x0079aA7CC4F9315aE17C6A6B429f2008D4aBD379
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00480039439bbfa6d0428b26b9ae567ae829b7471fe821bcee7679a5e8ea53e7
Open txWallet profile