Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 5:09:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 5:10:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,736.7
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
2,079.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000aBEC827E09e574B246D571de893758D3d831B • 0x005B8a1867Fcd79891fb8d1EFB02e4d6f930E474.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2079 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000aBEC827E09e574B246D571de893758D3d831B • 0x005B8a1867Fcd79891fb8d1EFB02e4d6f930E474.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000aBEC827E09e574B246D571de893758D3d831B
Net sender
Unknown type
1,820 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005B8a1867Fcd79891fb8d1EFB02e4d6f930E474
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,820 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
526.7 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0053D0716fC922F5BB69dD2c52362e6BCcac6C6E
Balanced
Unknown type
390 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003A1C1b7CFEa82ad2CF8b48F59b72E61E7786fd
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 526.7 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate8 tx
2,079.38 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:09:23 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:08:12 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
606.21 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:07:01 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
2,010 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:10:35 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
13.45 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:05:50 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:11:46 A.M.
-4 min
52 tx
2,072.15 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:04:37 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/15/2026, 5:12:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,820 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:09:25 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000aBEC827E09e574B246D571de893758D3d831B
To: 0x005B8a1867Fcd79891fb8d1EFB02e4d6f930E474
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
190 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:09:57 A.M.
From: 0x0053D0716fC922F5BB69dD2c52362e6BCcac6C6E
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x00560051e9ea067b7cf85b83550eabc3f6eeaabf432f31f4b8be2b8813b9b4b8
1,820 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:09:25 A.M.
From: 0x000aBEC827E09e574B246D571de893758D3d831B
To: 0x005B8a1867Fcd79891fb8d1EFB02e4d6f930E474
Tx: 0x0048003f9e1596ecde8806424d2bba00f8735e6d6b67f1a5ec2e4c390004bc66
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x003A1C1b7CFEa82ad2CF8b48F59b72E61E7786fd
To: 0x0053D0716fC922F5BB69dD2c52362e6BCcac6C6E
Tx: 0x004c003248aa71b9591c86b09f4c168974933debd1677ae562e6d3d3b4892a68
107.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00450035d35caaf0b2dd2b03066ea5c95fab5246d9a3dcf1d2a0ceaa9e2198c3
100.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f0003e213fd9b8e0f007cd09477dc726a03fa213eb51ce27c6f8bd9cc3455
107.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e007cf0318fdb03331ba266f1d568aac5195c709a36eef228f68bf743fd36
101.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0012005314238bcd114a625a70d1adcaaf0106b0d4edcce530168214f9deaa92
109.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x0079aA7CC4F9315aE17C6A6B429f2008D4aBD379
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00480039439bbfa6d0428b26b9ae567ae829b7471fe821bcee7679a5e8ea53e7
