Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 3:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 3:15:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 3:16:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 26,069.81
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 77% of explained volume
Relative context
4.8x above local average
20x previous minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
29
Asset volume
26,069.81 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 26070 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 3:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,070.74 QUAI across 9 visible rows
0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
Net sender
Unknown type
3,476.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005D2B9E98b6e50E205281bf5D94Eba63e6416a6
Net sender
Unknown type
1,051.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate10 tx
26,069.81 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:15:21 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
1,332.13 QUAI • 5 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:14:10 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:12:59 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:16:33 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
2,194.73 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:11:48 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:17:44 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
13,622.52 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:10:36 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:18:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.07 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:15:14 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
1,051.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:15:14 A.M.
From: 0x005D2B9E98b6e50E205281bf5D94Eba63e6416a6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0034007033ffaeb74107a9946d1efe2c834cc950a653740442653770b038b745
13.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:15:14 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00620012aa737d0da9d54dec7aa9cb3e8c22e93c6030e3f84e76fef81afa0249
14.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:15:14 A.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0058004289b098896eeb0c2107240338a34cddf7924bffa8f66493e40f43bcdb
12.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:15:14 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00360074a7acfcbe1143e086cbff4ac07765b749659c1fe8571cc74a2c7305a2
3,476.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:15:14 A.M.
From: 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00220022db2d23739ce02bb78cd9aacc161bc930994e306d3bbec89780a03d34
249.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:15:14 A.M.
From: 0x0051f76a4F4c62452cd811A54153fE7df762425b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002d0049a53b07e3a69dd541f076b1732173905e8ab57973191d586fe9db74fa
106.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:15:14 A.M.
From: 0x00677a439e907E17e804D7778AbF8341FDFA604F
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0006006e485c0bcbb76a9bb6f7b93725487d93701afddc17a0a79621b6c2a970
348.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:15:14 A.M.
From: 0x005CDA9Ffe6321216a0451A519cdc79CD441b521
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005d004dd75a46c12681d4972d79ac2371bb4d83b768ce2b3ea5a3ad23867682
797.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:15:14 A.M.
From: 0x0060bA5516E993449827998B966326d53DF3BA4D
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0017006e6fd19fc22a6e4dde921be5bc79876eb454d319e7a46a2b3beac87cab
19,999.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:15:14 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x000c00642e0815bc79dc8f48429063a53598b6ffde6ee54021199e695cd83746