Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 2:46:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 2:47:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,505.19
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
7,022.99 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0042B60CBBdA70FCd876e83C5432bcFE067D127e • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 7023 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0042B60CBBdA70FCd876e83C5432bcFE067D127e • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0042B60CBBdA70FCd876e83C5432bcFE067D127e
Net sender
Unknown type
3,198.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,198.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,636.51 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,331.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,670.08 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
23 tx
33,200.56 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:45:22 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
7,022.99 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:46:37 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate10 tx
46,780.56 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:44:10 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
10,964.45 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:47:48 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
9,015.49 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:42:58 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
8,627.26 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:48:59 A.M.
-4 min
11 tx
8,690.08 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:41:46 A.M.
+4 min
11 tx
11,854.52 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:50:11 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,198.6 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:46:35 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0042B60CBBdA70FCd876e83C5432bcFE067D127e
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
498.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:46:51 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005b0F3Cf33EEd139a12a653Bd6f76B2249fB035
Tx: 0x0046005d7ec15e2561f02be836e3eaecc3e706b5d5bb44409c3a23bd9b1d6bf0
2,331.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:46:51 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
Tx: 0x0023007f8bb7d0fb46f906bfd13a8019adbb5fd4a040da5902594996d085f04f
103.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:46:40 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004d6A8315C2D567fe944979a836F363a159A547
Tx: 0x00650071b128171b46916c3f4c8ec668d2c001865a7eb6b89ad6bdd0ccb0a362
387.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:46:40 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005AE28E0163Ba0d77cDC2eB96C44619bFf939d3
Tx: 0x001d0015d723f357b351e861c732fa491c062d64b8978cfccf437102a5995e99
783.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:46:35 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718
Tx: 0x0077006047740080dcab9099c6ecf68837f79f3379a605f5d591d1dc60e1fdde
201.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:46:35 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004cB648F9D61a71b427d3BebCc7AA6Fcb1A276E
Tx: 0x0053000d50f1de1693163f5b439c970d95813a969938fb443069184c180b92c2
3,198.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:46:35 A.M.
From: 0x0042B60CBBdA70FCd876e83C5432bcFE067D127e
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00080066e85e7d0bcd52b88876e4e8ad656378bb94e31b335c022d43843197ba