Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 2:45:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
9% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,838.64
Unexplained QUAI: 30,361.92
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
0.7x previous minute
4.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
23
Observable rows
4
17.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
36
Asset volume
33,200.56 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 33201 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (91% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (9%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,396.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,396.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,287.39 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0021DdD0c271B326D563EA12754E94c2A5107724
Net sender
Unknown type
668.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Net sender
Unknown type
619.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
23 tx
33,200.56 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:45:22 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate10 tx
46,780.56 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:44:10 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
9,015.49 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:42:58 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
7,022.99 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:46:37 A.M.
-3 min
11 tx
8,690.08 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:41:46 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
10,964.45 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:47:48 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
14,561.6 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:40:35 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
8,627.26 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:48:59 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,396.64 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:45:41 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
1,396.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:45:41 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Tx: 0x004c007afedf8733eed77ca9ea65d20ffc12d013a0805a1d76b230008ff51dfb
154.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:45:41 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00583026Fe8289b7464fe5E04F442f686c33ef2A
Tx: 0x0058000dc01abf458a1c228e28005a442aa741d4452c47e9d4145323e6ff9f01
668.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:45:41 A.M.
From: 0x0021DdD0c271B326D563EA12754E94c2A5107724
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0028000b40587272f8b34807498e4a4de014e9e93ff664693d2ecbc8c94fb0a6
619.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:45:41 A.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005d0026b22f16b499d6a337e9a72b5b18b346945ea403d896a5e0c9f26e0164