Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 2:42:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
49% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,422.84
Unexplained QUAI: 4,592.65
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 24% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
8
80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
9,015.49 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 9015 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (51% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (49%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,260.3 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,162.54 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004c676bc4BcBB906C7749583764104Ee25aEAAD
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,044.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
Net receiver
Unknown type
994.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3
Net receiver
Unknown type
906.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
11 tx
8,690.08 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:41:46 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
14,561.6 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:40:35 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
9,015.49 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:42:58 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate10 tx
46,780.56 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:44:10 A.M.
-3 min
25 tx
20,478.95 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:39:22 A.M.
+3 min
23 tx
33,200.56 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:45:22 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
5,758.62 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:38:10 A.M.
-5 min
20 tx
39,948.07 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:36:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,044.51 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:42:40 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004c676bc4BcBB906C7749583764104Ee25aEAAD
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
189.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:42:47 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004ce8dC11Eb9Cc4D163f881Ff795F96756d237C
Tx: 0x0041003056ce8bf1248378dedce64139965f1f23f664271985540159193c4e6e
230.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:42:47 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: Kryptex miner
0x0047F53BAA094B91B662eAf9966267Bab4f560BB
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x001800534f1b6208810e9347866d9f7f630d911d78d23236eced284f21549201
428.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:42:40 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0045db332388B7ae9F17e32007bA672b538421A6
Tx: 0x00080034a8322ab67ec5b30b32b3e033422f9360a81377419f15ac68d8dea828
1,044.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:42:40 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004c676bc4BcBB906C7749583764104Ee25aEAAD
Tx: 0x0024007028ca190cce331807b6b9456d4091f19e6e61109ae00e4c7b014dc274
994.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:42:24 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
Tx: 0x007e001bb2baeead8e1c7311e9220f435a502964688432e5aea07d90e1607b71
906.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:42:24 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3
Tx: 0x005b00417d6c464b1836362575ba3418ef176a2a4203027dd08e2d4b75472591
509.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:42:02 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
Tx: 0x0074006da2771110a6befbdbf18b1ee7adf71f162a227ed1f8abd6194e07b02d
119.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:42:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004bCdE3e02aD0C5c5aC33eF98b864dcC82cD661
Tx: 0x003f00398649926b0f1e369e924115e56061defd67aa1683735a5e002b743db8
