Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 2:41:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,552.24
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
7
63.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
8,690.08 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004f72e486aeb459076e1bB9859cBd9A06BCCd58.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 8690 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004f72e486aeb459076e1bB9859cBd9A06BCCd58.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,929.45 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004f72e486aeb459076e1bB9859cBd9A06BCCd58
Net sender
Unknown type
3,200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0042B60CBBdA70FCd876e83C5432bcFE067D127e
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,200 QUAI across 1 visible row
Kryptex miner
Net receiver
Miner wallet
2,517.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,422.79 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
14,561.6 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:40:35 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
8,690.08 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:41:46 A.M.
-2 min
25 tx
20,478.95 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:39:22 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
9,015.49 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:42:58 A.M.
-3 min
9 tx
5,758.62 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:38:10 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate10 tx
46,780.56 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:44:10 A.M.
-4 min
20 tx
39,948.07 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:36:57 A.M.
+4 min
23 tx
33,200.56 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:45:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,200 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:41:10 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004f72e486aeb459076e1bB9859cBd9A06BCCd58
To: 0x0042B60CBBdA70FCd876e83C5432bcFE067D127e
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
2,075.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:41:46 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: Kryptex miner
0x0043fa720C12bEAF9c6EC7Bb3Ef0FBCddC0424B0
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x0029006bc3b1bf4402abd642a879a8c2ebf087677664d7e274b9f17d4d43c67d
2,517.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:41:46 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: Kryptex miner
0x004AeC00875BcAc8b246F75a9375B5521f475A85
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x003d0018fce621e018dc7ba7a5cebbcb9950c8ef04bc9d441c99364b5981a14c
198.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:41:10 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0043ed21c06B3Cb0770Cb28112E5c50eE474a924
Tx: 0x007200290c0a922a1932a60910eca37d0eb5f85cc645923372666113af4bad6c
1,197.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:41:10 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c
Tx: 0x00730021211c7b0bf93be5363070214dad223c1420d9fca3a6b01d35ed094be9
3,200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:41:10 A.M.
From: 0x004f72e486aeb459076e1bB9859cBd9A06BCCd58
To: 0x0042B60CBBdA70FCd876e83C5432bcFE067D127e
Tx: 0x007000660e067be295f6fcd11bb8a9ed00f15042bc9fe2809d30c7f04a52e12b
149.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:41:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: StratumX miner
0x0042cd7b12A9ef3B6d1f6deFe55447873B191729
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x007d0038c93773ad289a0516dddf4c604820ac123460b7841f9f1f2cdd3c1fbc
214.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:41:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004a8E53ffcE813f9948115d9C7914878a865461
Tx: 0x00310012eab9045c6db77ca9b38a5a2ceb87ac9eb8dc56acd98d9deb57f1798b
