Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 2:36:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 2:36:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 2:37:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
86% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 34,184.26
Unexplained QUAI: 5,763.8
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
36x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
20
Observable rows
13
65.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
33
Asset volume
39,948.07 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 39948 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 2:36:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
9,833.04 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Kryptex miner
Net receiver
Miner wallet
8,346.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,593.58 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
14 tx
5,815.35 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:35:45 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
1,104.42 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:34:31 A.M.
+1 min
20 tx
39,948.07 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:36:57 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
5,758.62 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:38:10 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate26 tx
52,024.03 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:33:18 A.M.
+3 min
25 tx
20,478.95 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:39:22 A.M.
-4 min
16 tx
28,523.61 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:32:06 A.M.
-5 min
6 tx
4,247.73 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:30:54 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.06 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:36:32 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
116.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:36:54 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007469c0Ef17A1d22c75e295C41cDC07F219D888
Tx: 0x00490072cbcf46f1766f93921eae0edc6424cd4b6106da3a8aa0fa9973750f5d
801.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:36:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303
Tx: 0x0009004ed0e6ee64915a55a5e93a73190c11cc35aa4f46c0c985dbd061ac6b68
453.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:36:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00385AE34cE18C52D03Dc1C6B091E15976f4377E
Tx: 0x0005000dc7509b66f1d6b0165346813985a24dede104881cd561e842dd5b3120
624.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:36:42 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003C4b509ce7beBB39a2A6Dd588902528956d087
Tx: 0x003600536953118ea0d100ee035b8ddd1707598476d1b15464e12a106a8f52b3
998.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:36:42 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0073DE0738d08Fd85eB75B2C086eDFA562b0fEe4
Tx: 0x007d0050bf2fa420dd5c6ee33b1ed3a83970e129f2c055b6e392ebd40a5051d6
158.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:36:42 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003835340Da62C918332E647508144EFb394e4c1
Tx: 0x0010000cc4622718cdff2cad4c9e156d991a33fec8e66fa62debabe594a268da
842.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:36:32 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003AbD43E562Af0b727B8D7A0f771646004e6286
Tx: 0x00480024ed7e705bf95c3b9107fa6c270e17eb8d0cd85b4ceb9c7d6cc1dea892
505.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:36:32 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006f8ad5513be8BCDAcD85d3c2560CC8FE348912
Tx: 0x00780039ce4ec44935c3c675b618c0dfc4517db3e1fc13f52bbfb56e9685a5c9
874.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:36:32 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003723fAc34386d8F470BD988B91d1912b2D3F17
Tx: 0x000e0018dbf9a4f8b6a6055cc4be6114b4c86ac2d0e5687e7c22a8319b81fb33
326.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:36:32 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003b765e56156BFb75DfE454377C595e14E88dCa
Tx: 0x004800388ae22c62cead9d9565fa727ee299c11047b270959d73eb1e3445847b
138.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:36:32 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007193723AAd343838F2FAD85aAC6Df072b08E11
Tx: 0x0030001d5bf0113dbb4456b0f3b2cbee6a7fbefad4773c626a95f84eba41596b
8,346.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:36:32 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: Kryptex miner
0x00377f43fa9623c42D77000B103Af0D5D442c013
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x007f002aee5a198da16a6d04ecc2373ab3e4e72df540601fd04553b9eb78a35f
19,999.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:36:32 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x000d000c2baf839de855219f09efa1d6cf7eecafc233ae534d28b27abba8318d
