Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 2:33:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 2:33:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 2:34:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
32% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16,776.67
Unexplained QUAI: 35,247.35
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
1.8x previous minute
47x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
26
Observable rows
10
38.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
43
Asset volume
52,024.03 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 52024 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 2:33:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (68% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (32%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
8,020.69 QUAI across 2 visible rows
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
7,651.98 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0034A1701EDdd7750fbE4945FB90e070FEda195E
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,527.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0028fba05a9AFE68250b224E858F8892F200CA22
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,192 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate26 tx
52,024.03 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:33:18 A.M.
-1 min
16 tx
28,523.61 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:32:06 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
4,247.73 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:30:54 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
1,104.42 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:34:31 A.M.
-3 min
9 tx
9,879.81 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:29:42 A.M.
+3 min
14 tx
5,815.35 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:35:45 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
2,026.36 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:28:31 A.M.
+4 min
20 tx
39,948.07 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:36:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
7,527.75 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:33:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0034A1701EDdd7750fbE4945FB90e070FEda195E
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
492.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:33:59 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
Tx: 0x002c0041df37add56a137d41557ad1d9f384b1f68baee4e500010f146e0846e1
167.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:33:59 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0061BbC28fe620458393Af17D27995dEA1C3D281
Tx: 0x004c004df7f14cc597e75c687fcda882af422a915a5d583e98db6fb06970014f
443.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:33:59 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0036F1BFd8Bd051fE67e15B44a7A7B086b0A00BD
Tx: 0x004000769866bed6105f5629e35d6cdf1c6adc7998b2aa7cbb9e6f7c51b324f9
348.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:33:07 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00364843Bf0a53f898a40072C490B2700244c02E
Tx: 0x005c0000eaf72f91e2ef49c88f3938c8c29a5ffae9e1f261d5d6b597b0415885
144.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:33:07 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00600089BbB84520A3fB0849d69fC8dF563e5Bea
Tx: 0x005e0030b6f615e8345b6c91bd1d7a1350410d44083015f931c3c53fe8d6d6fb
7,527.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:33:07 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0034A1701EDdd7750fbE4945FB90e070FEda195E
Tx: 0x0059000d6def173f08c1c3f215c62ea8023423aa399309622795c2b5ef4bc5af
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:33:07 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x006e00558df34e6ee9ec5a6e3430201894b5e7468ec9f15fe271d5845a811a09
260.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:33:07 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: StratumX miner
0x004894e7C041BaC2a4575241c0Ec96DDd37866e0
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x00150023cfa0c3b31d143af3cb6fd005ff63187871bcc874c4d19a3f93bb218f
199.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:33:07 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x007BB4a7dfc6D9f770362Ed15aA1451994e18EE4
Tx: 0x005d005b41ed753c50c2aefb1e87862878f3f7754c9f1f5f786c315c7ffe886b
2,192 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:33:07 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0028fba05a9AFE68250b224E858F8892F200CA22
Tx: 0x0033005a7b56cda9f43f119f204c9018d9cd5e1b3117f4d145a092ce17a27047
