Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 2:27:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
5% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,065.64
Unexplained QUAI: 55,128.95
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
5.0x above local average
47x previous minute
29x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
28
Observable rows
6
21.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
45
Asset volume
58,194.59 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 58195 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (95% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (5%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,805.34 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,487.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
919.99 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002946e63Cc11e4CFe70f54bf49f6c1719f97bd4
Net receiver
Unknown type
568.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda
Net receiver
Unknown type
351.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate28 tx
58,194.59 QUAI • 45 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:27:18 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
1,244.31 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:26:07 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
4,479.79 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:24:55 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
2,026.36 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:28:31 A.M.
-3 min
11 tx
8,218.89 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:23:42 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
9,879.81 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:29:42 A.M.
-4 min
12 tx
5,745.2 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:22:30 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
4,247.73 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:30:54 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,487.97 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:27:44 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
351.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:27:44 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda
Tx: 0x00550029349a8a00a555201008633795da08cd08548b687c02f79fe31dc41cf4
1,487.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:27:44 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C
Tx: 0x0047007445a30499ab74f0ecd7cb0a9cb2fde2b6472416812b337d577c26f4f8
187.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:27:44 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004da2233CD6F20Ca1379E54b4D70f2bC0d5c799
Tx: 0x00500069ea26ded66bdf2fc789c1b7687629b5dc27d1303a82b3ae088ffba13d
153.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:27:10 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004d7d37b5d2E79BcFA4bd9588f41E039c50Cf72
Tx: 0x00640054390bc3e081aa2ca66796ef133dffe5f625f1a5849c24790f910cb5d0
568.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:27:10 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002946e63Cc11e4CFe70f54bf49f6c1719f97bd4
Tx: 0x00610005f56d606ccb376d908b390eb54d54be5fb64d430215ffd7ddeedf8790
317.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:27:10 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0024A7C887159Ccd5d9C9208671BfaA0A01919E7
Tx: 0x00560015c9c74d876592090d3f1e1449ec206e2ff5b26b857fdf08c2e63ca417