Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 2:24:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
66% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,959.58
Unexplained QUAI: 1,520.21
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 29% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
7
70.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
4,479.79 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 4480 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (34% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,279.17 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,112.39 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00222320062d091D63Fe7eb51A70D5E691D2Af67
Net receiver
Unknown type
859.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021DdD0c271B326D563EA12754E94c2A5107724
Net receiver
Unknown type
669.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
546.55 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
11 tx
8,218.89 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:23:42 A.M.
-1 min
12 tx
5,745.2 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:22:30 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
4,479.79 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:24:55 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
1,244.31 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:26:07 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate29 tx
63,954.61 QUAI • 42 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:21:17 A.M.
+3 min
28 tx
58,194.59 QUAI • 45 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:27:18 A.M.
-4 min
12 tx
12,361.67 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:20:05 A.M.
-5 min
6 tx
2,156.5 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:18:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
859.83 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:24:28 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00222320062d091D63Fe7eb51A70D5E691D2Af67
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
419.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:24:51 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00222D8A6f4C78Fc438637Aa9ea01b8227c3EF23
Tx: 0x001600426d17ef503a8172216096daa2176ade2154e8945dd132a4557b0dec2b
410.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:24:51 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003C459Cc8371f4433EF843bc10980A4697cb085
Tx: 0x006a002bc43bb2c633eceb33ee9b06b5a289df3e7994348c9933453637c895e5
669.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:24:51 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0021DdD0c271B326D563EA12754E94c2A5107724
Tx: 0x001900462b5eb6a4346c9f58e0a3e1b0a55c0739700da5a69dfd9ec86a32c8e5
21.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:24:51 A.M.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0029000828194ed1b10b06aab8e664d0549d3faba45022d6f49a8cfd40c4888f
442.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:24:28 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001d8b0943407f32c6f543D890C3b2E2f805D40a
Tx: 0x0004002d89a33ea3731a9452d5229a63e7e476bda2c42a95b589412eeb956c0f
136.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:24:28 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003Ae0bBb0BA9B92C0C6f21C68f34a30D0122402
Tx: 0x0006001d26e182c7c80b15f90490d7c3590a6364b0c957cdfa42a323f9bc4a04
859.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:24:28 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00222320062d091D63Fe7eb51A70D5E691D2Af67
Tx: 0x00190046a318fed34298496e96b95f575346c03164c7bed4c5e91e1563522eef
