Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 2:22:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
84% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,821.91
Unexplained QUAI: 923.3
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
7
58.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
5,745.2 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 5745 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,140.56 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,644.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,535.83 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000516Ebada2e9BF6B50604C0141CBF170bF208B
Net sender
Unknown type
874.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
874.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate29 tx
63,954.61 QUAI • 42 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:21:17 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
5,745.2 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:22:30 A.M.
-2 min
12 tx
12,361.67 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:20:05 A.M.
+2 min
11 tx
8,218.89 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:23:42 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
2,156.5 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:18:53 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
4,479.79 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:24:55 A.M.
-4 min
12 tx
16,516.35 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:17:42 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
1,244.31 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:26:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,430.53 QUAI
Whale alertPersisted Alert
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
1,644.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:22:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3
Tx: 0x0017006032bb05a24385a6ad1232d57292bcefabd4f3b00da06455be59ddaec7
148.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:22:38 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002f9891e9A78A2103e302dFF2f7d11432619eBb
Tx: 0x006800141ab6084acbcb6d8f03820cb46ce219fe3d7a0712e66aa58cae0f576e
668.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:22:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: Kryptex miner
0x0016fe34C55A301e7a9108Fc9d413290CE17C1E5
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x0056002ed828ef0758eee7a9b39b50639393aa80eac1350bf9e90dd538403c30
874.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:22:38 A.M.
From: 0x000516Ebada2e9BF6B50604C0141CBF170bF208B
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0063002c6a8bfd2c43eeeb6638abd4da1222b75ed87b6c482dc5842547194229
867.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:22:20 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054
Tx: 0x000c006e8327f1508d10a6825d361cbcf3b8fe32183e9fd63bfb12b024c2d638
122.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:22:20 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002F82C922A9Ca0A66494f3ec6Aad89819594A57
Tx: 0x0005005b76e2a6f539964dad563c03316a4e5b683fca46af751d729a1fe97d6b
496.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:22:20 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001C7D0B0d2d77c169427df878DC30fcAAE55E4F
Tx: 0x000a000fdcd8e6dc9c909e3a360075de84dc116a69686acf54ec06b1b1487d54
