Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 1:39:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 1:39:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 1:40:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 17,570.57
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
111x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
5,670.57 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002A46e6C4972a4aD7eEa5078641D04802A6BbE2 • 0x0051382499A45edC023AE738AE60fcF4D02B9deD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 5671 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002A46e6C4972a4aD7eEa5078641D04802A6BbE2 • 0x0051382499A45edC023AE738AE60fcF4D02B9deD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 1:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002A46e6C4972a4aD7eEa5078641D04802A6BbE2
Net sender
Unknown type
11,900 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0051382499A45edC023AE738AE60fcF4D02B9deD
Net receiver
Unknown type
11,900 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
5,670.57 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net sender
Unknown type
671.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 5,670.57 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
50.91 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:38:29 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
5,670.57 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:39:40 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
102.03 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:37:19 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate2 tx
12,003.03 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:40:51 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
218.14 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:36:08 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:42:04 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:34:57 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:43:15 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
11,900 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:39:49 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002A46e6C4972a4aD7eEa5078641D04802A6BbE2
To: 0x0051382499A45edC023AE738AE60fcF4D02B9deD
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
11,900 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:39:49 A.M.
From: 0x002A46e6C4972a4aD7eEa5078641D04802A6BbE2
To: 0x0051382499A45edC023AE738AE60fcF4D02B9deD
Tx: 0x000b003c567d041981a83689702bf1666ef2641fbf9d7ea93fcc1d27d3e1c491
4,999.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:39:06 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00370046c012da16bd8f1005220464ec10be6de79e68fd19d9de85965608a1db
671.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:39:06 A.M.
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00140029963f17b3cae0766c8aec5057704681fe0595fc6ac2d6a34c23830034