Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 11:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 11:09:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 11:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 919.78
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 0.08
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
0 QUAI
0.08 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f • 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f • 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 11:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f
Net sender
Unknown type
909 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
Net receiver
Unknown type
909 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
10.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
10.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:09:00 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:07:49 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
919.78 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:10:11 P.M.
-2 min
21 tx
683.45 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:06:38 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
71.91 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:11:22 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate55 tx
5,338.01 QUAI • 72 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:05:26 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
68.92 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:12:35 P.M.
-5 min
50 tx
444.39 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:04:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
909 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:09:45 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f
To: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
10.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:09:45 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x005b0044290409050ce4f3a0cb7bc138f9ea41c74c302c423841dc47b1d3f3e5
909 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:09:45 P.M.
From: 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f
To: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
Tx: 0x0062001f92f5e6e4a045c68dc695099d5c8a0abd698eb425b1e877e888368d31
