Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 11:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 11:05:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 11:06:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
6% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 309.53
Unexplained QUAI: 5,028.49
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
6.5x above local average
12x previous minute
7.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
55
Observable rows
3
5.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
72
Asset volume
5,338.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 5338 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 11:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (94% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (6%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
309.53 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
104.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00725c0A2c43C1a2c47a3a6dA4C8899079F5C996
Net sender
Unknown type
103.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0052Ec5b0c17f72a92c1B12F8276443D917D3900
Net sender
Unknown type
101.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 309.53 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate55 tx
5,338.01 QUAI • 72 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:05:26 P.M.
-1 min
50 tx
444.39 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:04:15 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:03:03 P.M.
+2 min
21 tx
683.45 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:06:38 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:01:53 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:07:49 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
150.15 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:00:38 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:09:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
104.1 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:05:53 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
103.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:05:53 P.M.
From: 0x00725c0A2c43C1a2c47a3a6dA4C8899079F5C996
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0034007561764cc8760eea0a2421274b720a4dd86ff76b9208b45fb406d13fb4
101.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:05:53 P.M.
From: 0x0052Ec5b0c17f72a92c1B12F8276443D917D3900
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0039002131063d0dc619af27b36676cfde43fc2af04aa8485936d7784da5e0a9
104.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:05:53 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006f007866e54d1e910fc54f12d8749bf8515dcc8bdfb2cb950da547cceaa739