Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 10:45:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 10:45:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 10:46:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 50.5
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001B40347094EF311048d5A21aCc2cC639fF1d77 • 0x004dd9AFAA2768642B5cDe15c24F37bF19d842E4.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001B40347094EF311048d5A21aCc2cC639fF1d77 • 0x004dd9AFAA2768642B5cDe15c24F37bF19d842E4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 10:45:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001B40347094EF311048d5A21aCc2cC639fF1d77
Net sender
Unknown type
50.5 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004dd9AFAA2768642B5cDe15c24F37bF19d842E4
Net receiver
Unknown type
50 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Net receiver
Unknown type
0.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:45:14 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:44:03 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
50.5 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:46:25 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:42:53 P.M.
-3 min
13 tx
13,254.33 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:41:41 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:47:36 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:48:47 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate31 tx
30,063.87 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:40:27 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
50 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:45:51 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x001B40347094EF311048d5A21aCc2cC639fF1d77
To: 0x004dd9AFAA2768642B5cDe15c24F37bF19d842E4
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:45:51 P.M.
From: 0x001B40347094EF311048d5A21aCc2cC639fF1d77
To: 0x004dd9AFAA2768642B5cDe15c24F37bF19d842E4
Tx: 0x005e00462123710110a20dbfdf9191e7ec811dc8364ac458dcdc1de3f48ac68e
0.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:45:51 P.M.
From: 0x001B40347094EF311048d5A21aCc2cC639fF1d77
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x003a0057df8bfe192466c40ab4076991e2a3669a71686fa145a08d9c83c8a65e
