Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 10:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 10:41:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 10:42:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
78% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,382.84
Unexplained QUAI: 2,871.49
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 18% of explained volume
Relative context
2.4x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
10
76.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
13,254.33 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 13254 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 10:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (22% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
10,382.84 QUAI across 10 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
Net sender
Unknown type
1,886.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002Addb54c936e1556bd15f16BE610Cced713b43
Net sender
Unknown type
1,621.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
Net sender
Unknown type
1,342.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012a84E8afc1AbEdd268719189B092C2615BC51
Net sender
Unknown type
1,135.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 10,382.84 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate31 tx
30,063.87 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:40:27 P.M.
+1 min
13 tx
13,254.33 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:41:41 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:39:13 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:42:53 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:38:02 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:44:03 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:36:51 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:45:14 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,886.1 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:41:24 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
577.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:41:35 P.M.
From: 0x0049Db8a6b394F0b426b0BC29498DF6a33FA2259
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0039006cafa655a893c51bcc4d2d1c3d888dc0be832c39d99331a78f080d0654
629.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:41:35 P.M.
From: 0x0044213c6085Bd687803589fa5233aAa0076C20a
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0049002d6072011d58aa5cd8fe682ebde80096950c13f8f451772c283891ab4f
622.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:41:35 P.M.
From: 0x006843aE3842531829ED6AdBC299F667a54974DE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005000234daf4935a314be8b87122ec0b352ac495378c98b6b4d79d2cfa2abe8
509.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:41:35 P.M.
From: 0x006dCf03893484bEeB805E2718Fe94B8ADb42847
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0012006df4fcef7586699a985fcfcbf32ff93fb3cabee87ebf19b9703852b439
1,135.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:41:24 P.M.
From: 0x0012a84E8afc1AbEdd268719189B092C2615BC51
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0031005f09dac48067de286a8eec394b979a30db697a47bce838cc9658346012
1,102.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:41:24 P.M.
From: 0x006B550C549e4Dcc80fC7a8EE7a4a7dB8eFD881f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0017001cb7d5c4608272aa5a90cdabdff5135a9896281723b48216f643d97445
1,621.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:41:24 P.M.
From: 0x002Addb54c936e1556bd15f16BE610Cced713b43
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00000060861fa4ba74e231125d8752bd9c23a4fc8274c35b313d6d673420f478
1,886.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:41:24 P.M.
From: 0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006300510a5d471d90d347cab5f18fe281b465ab2367d9c9ff7d8a1c000ae4ce
1,342.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:41:24 P.M.
From: 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000c002805d855557778f9af6b290e1fd363254066ef73ec51a3873ad60c1b5e
956.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:41:24 P.M.
From: 0x0000B8d2bbc8298639c7c40410cDAD7bC93A8442
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a001812ba41bf1154fde3bfae0d2d85c1f6421f61131e0daefe95d61022d9
