Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 10:11:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 10:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,971.51
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
4.0x above local average
1186x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
20,971.51 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 20972 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,419.17 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00245fd5aa4ED2B2E565Ce11fFE58995a1ad4250
Net sender
Unknown type
552.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
552.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
Net sender
Unknown type
205 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,419.17 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:10:43 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
17.68 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:09:31 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
20,971.51 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:11:54 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
634.22 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:13:06 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
19,999.02 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:08:20 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:14:17 P.M.
-4 min
15 tx
575.9 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:07:05 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:15:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.33 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:11:52 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
105.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:11:52 P.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0004005d97b2995ec827b62cb0f4ea82bae1e53e969a031539b574f772284c06
19,998.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:11:52 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0043000477a8cc116b01377dd5314df4de5d86654ba6d3a9d7b92089cf669e30
110.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:11:52 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0028001268c1e41ae7b3e1cceee0fe27a63b555cfd8311c4c22fb6dbe2e8fb16
205 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:11:52 P.M.
From: 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001c00058c7f58c85036d367e29e7d620b98e50c6a24e75f51d92662b44bf489
552.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:11:52 P.M.
From: 0x00245fd5aa4ED2B2E565Ce11fFE58995a1ad4250
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x004f003cb661bdb94c42d791fee3123af07aefe5aa2c6f6b34e95a1f8b4f23d7