Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 10:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 10:03:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 10:04:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
18% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 86.59
Unexplained QUAI: 388.47
Explained QI: 231.61
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 88% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
51
Observable rows
3
5.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
63
Asset volume
475.06 QUAI
231.61 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 475 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 10:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (82% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (18%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
231.62 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
231.62 QI across 1 visible row
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
86.59 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Net receiver
Unknown type
76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003067b067Cb41FeF60051d26bA4B5b1AaFb3e53
Net receiver
Unknown type
10.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:02:18 P.M.
+1 min
51 tx
475.06 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:03:31 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:00:59 P.M.
+2 min
53 tx
1,958.81 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:04:42 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 9:59:47 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate7 tx
20,240.59 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:05:54 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 9:58:36 P.M.
+4 min
15 tx
575.9 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:07:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
231.61 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:03:11 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:03:51 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x004200537930b4f79ad4ed47040ce50d18bda12c3ab7e86977ac7b71f84fcd0a
10.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:03:31 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x003067b067Cb41FeF60051d26bA4B5b1AaFb3e53
Tx: 0x00300029f31186a757997d7136cbc2c0262b6cada7d6270eefab1aacf9d08e4f
231.61 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:03:11 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00280053dee22ec1e9bf8a99e1939c7968dacb87abc63f4d9beeb1625edb165d