Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 8:49:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 8:49:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 8:50:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
49% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 195
Unexplained QUAI: 205
Explained QI: 673.26
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
4.0x above local average
2.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
400 QUAI
673.26 QI
Avg confidence
84.5%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 400 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 8:49:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (51% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (49%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
673.27 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
673.27 QI across 3 visible rows
0x0017a5CcD48EFc2FB77BBf6AF17FF4610B7b520C
Net sender
Unknown type
195 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007c987A0938731fE7d81f85C99956bf4925097f
Net receiver
Unknown type
195 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 673.26 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
400 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:49:12 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:48:00 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
195 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:50:23 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:46:48 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:45:37 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:51:35 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:52:48 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
200 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:44:25 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
229.86 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:49:55 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
229.86 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:49:55 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00220015a879a2032be1f4039ccb057de258b84d4adddd62c4264b7f9c6ae082
195 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:49:36 P.M.
From: 0x0017a5CcD48EFc2FB77BBf6AF17FF4610B7b520C
To: 0x007c987A0938731fE7d81f85C99956bf4925097f
Tx: 0x006c00524279fec7254ff7af3886e812df6b6603ba954ce5fa438f91cbea2369
221.7 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:49:15 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0052005c1a957ffca638401a5281c980b22bd71459a02dbbe14e38eb0d0f79b9
221.7 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:49:15 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005b005c9fe51073fbe1d7b762c42e46e5aba63dc72a756999a4cadcde4dad7f
