Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 8:43:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 8:43:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 8:44:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 200
Unexplained QUAI: 19,798.31
Explained QI: 460.97
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.8x above local average
100x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
19,998.31 QUAI
460.97 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 19998 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 8:43:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
460.98 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
460.98 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0068084e0FD382683486F1d21471faBb336A1BfF
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002690512c43A48DB94Cc479a36797f7F49D4BC6
Net receiver
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 460.97 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
19,998.31 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:43:14 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:42:03 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
200 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:44:25 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
2,000 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:40:48 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
19,999 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:39:35 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:45:37 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:46:48 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:38:24 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
230.48 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:43:25 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
230.48 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:43:53 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006200322d3b91c061ca18e5bd149c496bac1bcf3467c75afafb627cb7b0c8fa
230.48 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:43:25 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000c006608276abd6f408dc41fe7cad817720a91a966fec74b0ceee58759e703
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:43:16 P.M.
From: 0x0068084e0FD382683486F1d21471faBb336A1BfF
To: 0x002690512c43A48DB94Cc479a36797f7F49D4BC6
Tx: 0x0077003cf085e778ea47dccffda382adc606882588667f903614802d475df6d6