Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 8:28:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 8:28:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 8:29:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
17% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,000
Unexplained QUAI: 5,000
Explained QI: 700.49
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
4.3x above local average
6.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
6,000 QUAI
700.49 QI
Avg confidence
84.5%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF • 0x002690512c43A48DB94Cc479a36797f7F49D4BC6.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 6000 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF • 0x002690512c43A48DB94Cc479a36797f7F49D4BC6.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 8:28:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (83% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (17%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002690512c43A48DB94Cc479a36797f7F49D4BC6
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
700.5 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
700.5 QI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 700.49 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
1,000 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:27:38 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
6,000 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:28:49 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
1,000 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:26:27 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
1,000 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:30:01 P.M.
-3 min
7 tx
1,077.24 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:25:15 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:31:15 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
200 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:24:04 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
1,000 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:32:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:28:32 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x002690512c43A48DB94Cc479a36797f7F49D4BC6
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
233.48 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:28:59 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005c0021618835650c9182f8520c9ce5904c0f51ed54a0fba42983e71eb2e116
233.5 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:28:33 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0012004ab6abb1bc8e44878ca0c6375bb3823b1ebe95bb90090f40de2acc1440
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:28:32 P.M.
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x002690512c43A48DB94Cc479a36797f7F49D4BC6
Tx: 0x00740041918d2c3c3b88e3a166a09590c0d854cdd594f251bbf4fb410d9fd37a
233.51 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:28:18 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0003001cf25c92a9addd4d5e7f96a1462a9d85e1a57493f37375ef2743f563cb