Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 8:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 8:11:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 8:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 40,231.82
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 477.11
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
5.2x above local average
541x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
40,231.82 QUAI
477.11 QI
Avg confidence
70.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 40232 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 8:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Balanced
Unknown type
39,997.28 QUAI across 2 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,230.08 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
477.11 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
477.11 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 477.11 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,230.08 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:10:53 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
74.41 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:09:42 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
40,231.82 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:12:05 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:13:16 P.M.
-3 min
11 tx
309.03 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:08:27 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
400 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:14:28 P.M.
-4 min
8 tx
312.21 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:07:14 P.M.
-5 min
56 tx
20,834.96 QUAI • 74 addresses
09/14/2026, 8:06:02 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:11:11 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
19,998.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:11:40 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007a0017437f6ef3ebb6f6c6c3a505870ed08ec19c8da7e4585dcf23cbcde7dc
104.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:11:40 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b00685a7df367bad26ef1003e30fed6c694bf5f6037e584aa6ad30a8300e3
127.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:11:40 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0065003c8593e0a2e56275b5f2f5f66cad4ac71bf0f971fa0803c7c6bba6b831
238.56 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:11:23 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000f0042cb8de9a293d7657072a11db33408de6d7ea53863353e6f305ccb87ed
238.55 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:11:21 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002f004bcdf24b707645783bd15570e47e34312a3f933a355aac3be173428097
19,999 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:11:11 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0061007abba17349cd9522208a483a8247a48206edf999daa7c3eeb6da41e0e4
2.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 8:11:02 P.M.
From: 0x007349Ed7Db08d1bAb80D07b8C67a2A9216cE2d6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x007100441c375115b44db0136fd20a8712536d775588f2a479bda9d994f5d9b8