Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 7:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 7:14:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 7:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,576.77
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 484.69
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
6.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
3,576.77 QUAI
484.69 QI
Avg confidence
70.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D2E1D69dA8092Ad3Cb1E001dE98F7067D074D • 0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 3577 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D2E1D69dA8092Ad3Cb1E001dE98F7067D074D • 0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 7:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D2E1D69dA8092Ad3Cb1E001dE98F7067D074D
Net sender
Unknown type
3,550 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,550 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
484.69 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
484.69 QI across 2 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
24.77 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 484.69 QI
0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A → 0x007d27960335836b1aEA7312CCd8e48Db95227A0
2 repeated flows • 2 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 7:13:51 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/14/2026, 7:12:40 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
3,576.77 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/14/2026, 7:15:02 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
320.63 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 7:16:14 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 7:11:28 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 7:17:25 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
598.5 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 7:10:14 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 7:09:03 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,550 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 7:14:57 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001D2E1D69dA8092Ad3Cb1E001dE98F7067D074D
To: 0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
3,550 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 7:14:57 P.M.
From: 0x001D2E1D69dA8092Ad3Cb1E001dE98F7067D074D
To: 0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
Tx: 0x0003005ac36ef5b5998543afcbc9e3641fd0343740d3c4edc399bdb652e76000
11.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 7:14:57 P.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004e004e49fce408c1ba7f36b56af37de608942ea14d8bb1068b3da0acc880ca
12.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 7:14:57 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007900646ad4bb1bff6439f56973f8821e08dc6ab8fd8cfef86a0406316e38f7
242.57 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 7:14:50 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0070007f958024970393ada759f323e960be044c3e1de48287e30d7fc6cae715
242.11 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 7:14:38 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006100306dda16125142901450d15e55b81432634624b04d9144e7f566508c00
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 7:14:29 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x007d27960335836b1aEA7312CCd8e48Db95227A0
Tx: 0x0024001d9d4263d2c2b0f322e1950273b0fd197a04bf5aea135c7a93e94ac4a1
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 7:14:29 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x007d27960335836b1aEA7312CCd8e48Db95227A0
Tx: 0x0036005b2468ccb3cf766a4f39273eb018b5cc94bcdce9d84dd5f1a6b541aec5