Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 6:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 6:41:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 6:42:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,674.37
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 471.5
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
0 QUAI
471.5 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 6:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
7,674.37 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
Net sender
Unknown type
4,920.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C2482ee5AC230d362afde3556cF475cCc2ca9
Net sender
Unknown type
2,753.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
471.51 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
471.51 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 471.5 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 7,674.37 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
0 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/14/2026, 6:41:24 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 6:40:13 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
1,000 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 6:39:01 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
7,674.37 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 6:42:38 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate7 tx
14,812.65 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/14/2026, 6:37:47 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
8,470 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/14/2026, 6:43:49 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/14/2026, 6:36:34 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
2,466.86 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/14/2026, 6:45:01 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,920.82 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 6:41:39 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
4,920.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 6:41:39 P.M.
From: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00200035fd22ed4089eee7bf0bcefa9b05df005eae54dea8e87f84821abd959e
2,753.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 6:41:39 P.M.
From: 0x002C2482ee5AC230d362afde3556cF475cCc2ca9
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c00776998a480be9b9a915f9011888a7d56a06199bd737401f56df6995c73
235.75 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 6:41:15 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001c001fe44751a487421d2eb55e30079ffdbf15c3ef020410dc70ddc310eb33
235.75 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 6:41:15 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00540066f2c01e158c1fab14d85f845d8812dc56dc1cefcafe42b97a527cb6ff