Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 6:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 6:38:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 6:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,000
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 970.76
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
1,000 QUAI
970.76 QI
Avg confidence
86.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004080DB89Fc9d41b3c2D6871B5BaE7449328CC5 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 1000 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004080DB89Fc9d41b3c2D6871B5BaE7449328CC5 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (4 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 6:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004080DB89Fc9d41b3c2D6871B5BaE7449328CC5
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
970.77 QI across 4 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
970.77 QI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
4 repeated flows • 970.76 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate7 tx
14,812.65 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/14/2026, 6:37:47 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/14/2026, 6:36:34 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
1,000 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 6:39:01 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 6:40:13 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
1.34 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 6:35:22 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/14/2026, 6:41:24 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/14/2026, 6:34:03 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
1,147.41 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 6:32:52 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 6:38:52 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004080DB89Fc9d41b3c2D6871B5BaE7449328CC5
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 6:38:52 P.M.
From: 0x004080DB89Fc9d41b3c2D6871B5BaE7449328CC5
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001000212016a3402680e0660368778e1408d969d870a64dcd894f6b47d5f6c8
236.97 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 6:38:42 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004f003409ca842dc3a7db1601b8720edebe285ec21fc5f008195c80d81beefa
236.97 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 6:38:42 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000d007ce3ade17c4e5958a8d02953638450dabec90e5904704426d64f178c21
248.46 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 6:38:18 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0033004b07f93e09be4aed9746bfee836cc76390ac0623e7c95d4bd8bdd3a0d6
248.34 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 6:38:01 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00310016be5df353129b7df166b4f58e534ebcdac8a6a2869ddffce070de2bc6