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Spike bucket

09/14/2026, 6:37:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/14/2026, 6:37:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 6:38:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

97% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 14,312.65

Unexplained QUAI: 500

Explained QI: 474.64

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Distributed activity

Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume

Relative context

7.0x above local average

11079x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.

The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

85.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

14,812.65 QUAI

474.64 QI

Avg confidence

72.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.

Dominant behavior: mixed flow

mixed_flow + medium confidence + 14813 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 35

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift

Aging context • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 09/14/2026, 6:37:00 P.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.

Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.

Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.

Top actors in this event

K1 Mining pool

Net sender

Miner pool

14,312.65 QUAI across 4 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7

Net receiver

Unknown type

4,921.57 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00369F48Dc4F9f35326c761EEe01290fBaDF59D0

Net receiver

Unknown type

4,123.23 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002C2482ee5AC230d362afde3556cF475cCc2ca9

Net receiver

Unknown type

2,754.29 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00413C934ab6ab2B1BA09702c8955D507e30D6c9

Net receiver

Unknown type

2,513.56 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

2 repeated flows • 474.64 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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6 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 7. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.