Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 5:30:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 5:30:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 5:31:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
64% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 109.38
Unexplained QUAI: 60.64
Explained QI: 756.29
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
3.3x above local average
8.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
4
57.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
170.02 QUAI
756.29 QI
Avg confidence
79.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004080DB89Fc9d41b3c2D6871B5BaE7449328CC5 • 0x00A16d5cab2632451e67E702Be250C8D6C37c0a5.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 170 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004080DB89Fc9d41b3c2D6871B5BaE7449328CC5 • 0x00A16d5cab2632451e67E702Be250C8D6C37c0a5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 5:30:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (36% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004080DB89Fc9d41b3c2D6871B5BaE7449328CC5
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QI across 1 visible row
0x00A16d5cab2632451e67E702Be250C8D6C37c0a5
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
256.3 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
256.3 QI across 1 visible row
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
109.38 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
61.9 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:29:42 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
20 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:28:30 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
170.02 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:30:56 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
101.3 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:32:09 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:27:18 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:26:04 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:33:30 P.M.
-5 min
7 tx
56.53 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:24:52 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
500 QI
Whale alertAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 5:30:22 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004080DB89Fc9d41b3c2D6871B5BaE7449328CC5
To: 0x00A16d5cab2632451e67E702Be250C8D6C37c0a5
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
54.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 5:30:40 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x002b1DC1E213109A1F6105E3B8f759640D26e3d8
Tx: 0x00130006e7766932e854b1751ec2b11b95ccf9399ffcc7afa72dec8a78c54686
256.29 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 5:30:22 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000f001ce5cb3284d102f95002de604b4fde07f37312c6154430da50910e5293
500 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 5:30:22 P.M.
From: 0x004080DB89Fc9d41b3c2D6871B5BaE7449328CC5
To: 0x00A16d5cab2632451e67E702Be250C8D6C37c0a5
Tx: 0x000d008e13e03ffc28ec2d4a55bca9a21e7bda63494e482ea6cb3f4b174d3893
54.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 5:30:18 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x004921149a43690D5029ec3c7FC4907327d5bfF1
Tx: 0x002f002b32c7be574dc0335f21bb8c910a13ae56b7ef972dbb1b1402524c16f6