Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 5:27:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 5:27:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 5:28:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
80% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 983.46
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
4
80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
0 QUAI
983.46 QI
Avg confidence
86.5%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004080DB89Fc9d41b3c2D6871B5BaE7449328CC5 • 0x00A16d5cab2632451e67E702Be250C8D6C37c0a5.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004080DB89Fc9d41b3c2D6871B5BaE7449328CC5 • 0x00A16d5cab2632451e67E702Be250C8D6C37c0a5.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 5:27:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004080DB89Fc9d41b3c2D6871B5BaE7449328CC5
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QI across 1 visible row
0x00A16d5cab2632451e67E702Be250C8D6C37c0a5
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
483.46 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
483.46 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006751Bec530bbeDc67aCA74911396c6cA8C6bd3
Net sender
Unknown type
20 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 483.46 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:27:18 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:26:04 P.M.
-2 min
7 tx
56.53 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:24:52 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
20 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:28:30 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:23:40 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
61.9 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:29:42 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate7 tx
170.02 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:30:56 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:22:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
500 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 5:27:09 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004080DB89Fc9d41b3c2D6871B5BaE7449328CC5
To: 0x00A16d5cab2632451e67E702Be250C8D6C37c0a5
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
20 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 5:27:20 P.M.
From: 0x006751Bec530bbeDc67aCA74911396c6cA8C6bd3
To: 0x002c4bD32Abf0640f9e871F9f62cEeEE20C6E01d
Tx: 0x007e0040fefbaeab8cd7f4b286f662d3d32a6133d938abe9e12414c8d9a9715e
241.73 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 5:27:09 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0047002f07d7b953292bb6ccc9b64bfc38567aeffe0b0cc7a1b9ffed8cbd9410
241.73 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 5:27:09 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0074002f79bd2e9b7cc3df950ebb1c512fee83fd9d8ef5a87a9da50c83d153b1
500 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 5:27:09 P.M.
From: 0x004080DB89Fc9d41b3c2D6871B5BaE7449328CC5
To: 0x00A16d5cab2632451e67E702Be250C8D6C37c0a5
Tx: 0x002700dc2a9c84929bbe9c31bdf0910f940885e0af81f8d6cbc5f2e533b784a3
