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Spike bucket

09/14/2026, 5:05:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/14/2026, 5:05:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 5:06:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
56% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 563.71
Unexplained QUAI: 439.44
Explained QI: 516.99
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
51
Observable rows
6
11.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
61
Asset volume
1,003.15 QUAI
516.99 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 1003 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 5:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (44% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (56%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
563.71 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
517 QI across 2 visible rows
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
517 QI across 2 visible rows
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
Net sender
Unknown type
203.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x00465e6CFcD74aB38bEBbAa5125cEC08fAB5884E
Net sender
Unknown type
147.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 516.99 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 563.71 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Alert contextSignal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

-15 min-5 min-1 min+1 min+5 min+15 minRaw alerts API
6 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 51. The remaining 45 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Nearby active minutes

Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
51 tx
1,003.15 QUAI • 61 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:05:24 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate4 tx
127,837.56 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:04:12 P.M.
-2 min
52 tx
874.96 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:02:59 P.M.
+2 min
23 tx
1,970.63 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:06:38 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
1,000 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:01:45 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:07:50 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:00:33 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
12.52 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 5:09:02 P.M.

Biggest whale alert

258.53 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 5:05:25 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions
203.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 5:05:50 P.M.
From: 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00550027f159f0ab88630237b36e5599084454a4288062b87d8b035505fbecd5
Open txWallet profile
147.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 5:05:50 P.M.
From: 0x00465e6CFcD74aB38bEBbAa5125cEC08fAB5884E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b00376072897cf492db6f41740f5d39842cbc969b1ded388773b39c58d312
Open txWallet profile
102.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 5:05:50 P.M.
From: 0x00101818D47a4f44FC3030a3bb8D28Fa27Fc3dAA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00110022ec8b98da73d9a3565b618968f2cae238fb9646cda0e041ca5648a8bc
Open txWallet profile
110.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 5:05:50 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00150058efd40725717f31e2b31deb1ec72013731e5e8d1fd3414786dda6a14b
Open txWallet profile
258.46 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 5:05:33 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0020006433ca1c3a25cb2ebc17b7f47eb504d106f026f7091400509a31e0d75e
Open txWallet profile
258.53 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 5:05:25 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004400603414035941ddde64b7c70350774ef9bcf4a406afceddbfbd852e8aff
Open txWallet profile