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Spike bucket

09/14/2026, 4:04:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/14/2026, 4:04:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 4:05:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

82% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 10,151.57

Unexplained QUAI: 2,271.64

Explained QI: 268

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 91% of explained volume

Relative context

7.1x above local average

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

91.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

12,423.21 QUAI

268 QI

Avg confidence

62.9%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 12423 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 53

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 34 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift

Aging context • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 09/14/2026, 4:04:00 P.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 34 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.

Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.

Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f

Net sender

Unknown type

9,220.75 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0

Net receiver

Unknown type

9,220.75 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da

Net sender

Unknown type

915.4 QUAI across 31 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x003e34a3389536A2A357F78F98988a043E2Dd907

Net receiver

Unknown type

527.16 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000

Net sender

Unknown type

268 QI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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34 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 37. The remaining 3 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.