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Spike bucket

09/14/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/14/2026, 3:24:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
37% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,074.95
Unexplained QUAI: 33,799.63
Explained QI: 268.49
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
8
53.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
33
Asset volume
53,874.58 QUAI
268.49 QI
Avg confidence
65.8%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 53875 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging contextThin source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (63% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (37%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
268.5 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
268.5 QI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
75.74 QUAI across 5 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

8 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 15. The remaining 7 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

19,999.19 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:24:31 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
18.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:24:46 P.M.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00430066fe4402f78a7f37d16cdd2f9bb461935b63b74c6e4dcbfc3bc84764dd
Open txWallet profile
33.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:24:46 P.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006e0042f06b4a135a83955ccbb12a5de62ec01d8cebe595412f6eb6e9dbecdd
Open txWallet profile
10.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:24:46 P.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00440021f70ffd4dd21d05558b41bfbdcd85d4a0cb8d0e3757269f41584be38e
Open txWallet profile
10.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:24:46 P.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00640022f8ebbcd4e2b52828f6c96a880c00bd87287960f88b0e1f9a03b857ea
Open txWallet profile
3.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:24:46 P.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001a000119433d29aa46b32c8d781c37eb27ab0387ddb8ac0962d15e01cd8256
Open txWallet profile
19,999.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:24:31 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x005d0038a0e0087b323835215f02fb9c032abb234677fa3eccee4761f795ef19
Open txWallet profile
268.49 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:24:21 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00620075dc60eae321d2c368e2ef978ea86122c5f8480f1723e8f456d9bbd5e7
Open txWallet profile
0.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:24:08 P.M.
From: 0x0006506bDE7140b85DED58a40D7444F84cde4821
To: 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Tx: 0x005e006d743b4e1c4ba1c237e4f4596241012b7aad53b7ea97db10f6a089ca01
Open txWallet profile