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Spike bucket

09/14/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/14/2026, 3:23:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

85% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 62,301.1

Unexplained QUAI: 11,378.95

Explained QI: 267.9

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume

Relative context

1.0x above local average

0.2x previous minute

1.4x next minute

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.

One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

95.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

73,680.06 QUAI

267.9 QI

Avg confidence

63.5%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0028132bc39611Bb94B35DA801433c7feF24cF7D • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + medium confidence + 73680 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 50

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0028132bc39611Bb94B35DA801433c7feF24cF7D • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 20 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift

Aging context • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 09/14/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 20 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.

Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.

Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0028132bc39611Bb94B35DA801433c7feF24cF7D

Net sender

Unknown type

43,499.19 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

MEXC hot wallet

Net receiver

Exchange

43,499.19 QUAI across 1 visible row

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Gate.io hot wallet

Net receiver

Exchange

18,801.92 QUAI across 18 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48

Net sender

Unknown type

1,272.4 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x007590604B15235E365DF00570CDb50D3edEE76d

Net sender

Unknown type

1,259.76 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 62,301.1 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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20 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 21. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.