Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 3:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 3:14:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 3:15:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
90% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,035.37
Unexplained QUAI: 325.2
Explained QI: 799.8
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
33x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
8
88.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
3,360.56 QUAI
799.8 QI
Avg confidence
73.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00140e6233C39e6AADdA3BEacB22A27122eF1e11 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 3361 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00140e6233C39e6AADdA3BEacB22A27122eF1e11 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 3:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00140e6233C39e6AADdA3BEacB22A27122eF1e11
Net sender
Unknown type
1,809.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,809.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
1,134.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x001d8b79508C2529667C13Fd3C7cABdaB742485b
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,134.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
799.8 QI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 799.8 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 1,134.83 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
4,106.99 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:13:32 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
3,360.56 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:14:46 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
100.66 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:12:20 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
1,049.46 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:15:58 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
2.6 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:11:07 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
560 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:17:09 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:09:50 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
1,434.97 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:18:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,809.74 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:14:19 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00140e6233C39e6AADdA3BEacB22A27122eF1e11
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
16.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:14:50 P.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007c0046cdcc5d70c099d76ee1843dccc004542c819b049974583e346e483a2b
14.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:14:50 P.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00280034407a49dafb04b6d04659254b82e986c94949ce5ae4f4d4b764917f23
266.79 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:14:30 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002f0036ac7113c68893bc048f7abf241d365300de604ab0472f278c7be148ec
266.81 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:14:19 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00300007cb0f95736174e530d389d01c0246a509eceda749fc0f5296c621ad26
59.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:14:19 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0054180820C8F0D96fd097aEb226C7736Fe880f1
Tx: 0x0014004ada3b6a7b4617244241df0893faa2fa70aaf4fd6a56ec26605108e080
1,134.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:14:19 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x001d8b79508C2529667C13Fd3C7cABdaB742485b
Tx: 0x00210024da79e6d5142d796950dbdcb27fcb4719f265a427481725adc1f6987c
1,809.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:14:19 P.M.
From: 0x00140e6233C39e6AADdA3BEacB22A27122eF1e11
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0023004ef9e23f8274046f3251cfd86a9967de3d21d9abb8ea9dfa365f7f63c7
266.18 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:14:02 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003d000eab377cfed294b4dbfa4e80a850fb6b68ecba5b9e1a4ff21372ae8cfa
