Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 3:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 3:13:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 3:14:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
9% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 356.08
Unexplained QUAI: 3,750.91
Explained QI: 266.83
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 65% of explained volume
Relative context
3.6x above local average
41x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
4
80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
4,106.99 QUAI
266.83 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 4107 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 3:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (91% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (9%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
346.79 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
266.83 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
266.83 QI across 1 visible row
0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Net receiver
Unknown type
233.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
Net receiver
Unknown type
113.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
100.66 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:12:20 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
4,106.99 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:13:32 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
2.6 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:11:07 P.M.
+2 min
9 tx
3,360.56 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:14:46 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:09:50 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
1,049.46 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:15:58 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:08:38 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
560 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:17:09 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
266.83 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:13:24 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
113.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:13:56 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
Tx: 0x0072007442656349e0c62f7de31aa0d0fc5c5b01e1b81a6cbe563426b9c8e15e
9.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:13:33 P.M.
From: 0x0001Be03f5f856802cAdCF7655cc1809FC3261C7
To: 0x00140e6233C39e6AADdA3BEacB22A27122eF1e11
Tx: 0x006b002cdbfe97fa9118b6e85c061a5a155b2481c5ba781cb0ac520c4233c53c
233.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:13:33 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x007900541e910d55019e2afb1dee3b9077b090b85128b3091bca9dbdda4d79bd
266.83 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:13:24 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007b004b146b78ff828d69ad0419aa2f123fa815853edc4ef54abd3e079788fc