Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 2:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 2:25:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 2:26:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
98% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,093.97
Unexplained QUAI: 500
Explained QI: 535.77
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
4.0x above local average
1.2x previous minute
205940x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
10
90.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
20,593.97 QUAI
535.77 QI
Avg confidence
71.8%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 20594 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 2:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: no major freshness or provenance limiter detected in current sample
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
Net sender
Unknown type
20,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
20,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
535.77 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
535.77 QI across 2 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
93.97 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 535.77 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate11 tx
20,593.97 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:25:29 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
16,980 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:24:17 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:23:05 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
0.1 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:26:46 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0.1 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:21:53 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
535 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:27:57 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:20:40 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
3,000 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:29:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
20,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:25:12 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
273.93 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:25:28 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0059005ec0157c87c7927088877e4d49c06ad15821d53c210be0002f29aecffc
20,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:25:12 P.M.
From: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x004b00110db137a543447015943775be6b9f615a47317963fef33b08f9126aca
261.83 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:25:07 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0014001b6d274be4565f7e4d9b8a3d57786abf96c46bd478e9bd674ef0f77c76
1.36 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:25:07 P.M.
From: 0x0006506bDE7140b85DED58a40D7444F84cde4821
To: 0x008c264bEB889d14321aba31e3490B4CA0c5cDeE
Tx: 0x0045008f60fd8b8549dac6bc79964bc54b9eb8b715936fdef495d163d311f10f
18.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:25:06 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00690029301c7464451e6609072a584d6f4431d4c76e0206a2d2e3cb8d37c6eb
19.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:25:06 P.M.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000200256f5757f6115a7487c3b008a7c595a8e997d37dc5b93d4f4bae26dcb1
4.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:25:06 P.M.
From: 0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0012007740162ceea2ba3b5639f55613b5479ab07832cff4835eae61d78311e1
36.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:25:06 P.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00760029f3c6fb502cb2ebb60ace478956ba55daba930b921358d423869c4f54
10.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:25:06 P.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00700013214af7feb0c984f6f84d2af5f93cf3cb1026450c4e52f38929a63fc0
3.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:25:06 P.M.
From: 0x00585160E8466d30d02Bb3b2fBE7d929ac62D556
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00360021c4fe4bb92486a0a91e158428425e338df0d2bfa7e9f9ea8e01c8a027