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Spike bucket

09/14/2026, 2:09:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/14/2026, 2:09:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

100% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 8.93

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Explained QI: 479.7

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume

Relative context

0.0x above local average

0.0x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

8.93 QUAI

479.7 QI

Avg confidence

88.5%

Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 9 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 53

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.

0x0006506bDE7140b85DED58a40D7444F84cde4821 -> 0x00f884B61A1B0a1D456D547801B30561d85E7A2D (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: address-path-single

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source address-path-single

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: watch • Low freshness drift

Recent context • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 09/14/2026, 2:09:00 P.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window

Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.

Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.

Limits: transfer sample depth is limited in the current window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000

Net sender

Unknown type

279.7 QI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

Net receiver

Unknown type

279.7 QI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0006506bDE7140b85DED58a40D7444F84cde4821

Net sender

Unknown type

200 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00f884B61A1B0a1D456D547801B30561d85E7A2D

Net receiver

Unknown type

200 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79

Net sender

Unknown type

8.93 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x0006506bDE7140b85DED58a40D7444F84cde4821 → 0x00f884B61A1B0a1D456D547801B30561d85E7A2D

2 repeated flows • 200 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 5. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.