Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 2:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 2:05:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 2:06:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 314.7
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
314.7 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00214D85387f7eDC63dD602F4Fd65A218DCa8cf5.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 315 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00214D85387f7eDC63dD602F4Fd65A218DCa8cf5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 2:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
304.69 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00214D85387f7eDC63dD602F4Fd65A218DCa8cf5
Net sender
Unknown type
202 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0036eFB8D70493c0c033e5cF97EA4Cec2C0e9dd6
Net sender
Unknown type
102.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001e38e6bA8E8E6F45d809Aa03420aCf112369b2
Balanced
Unknown type
10.01 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0006506bDE7140b85DED58a40D7444F84cde4821
Balanced
Unknown type
10.01 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 304.69 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
52 tx
754.3 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:04:58 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate54 tx
1,466.82 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:03:42 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
320.83 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:06:16 P.M.
+2 min
30 tx
557.37 QUAI • 44 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:07:29 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
0.1 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:02:25 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:01:12 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:08:40 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 2:00:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
202 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:05:54 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00214D85387f7eDC63dD602F4Fd65A218DCa8cf5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
0.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x001e38e6bA8E8E6F45d809Aa03420aCf112369b2
To: 0x0006506bDE7140b85DED58a40D7444F84cde4821
Tx: 0x0041007aeeb688320647ebed5f13dc12737bd2ce593f2cb85cfdf36b3fef4f57
102.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x0036eFB8D70493c0c033e5cF97EA4Cec2C0e9dd6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000a00696bb3cc535dbcbfab08a539ae1a8d7f388333c2c332aba2b79122e220
202 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x00214D85387f7eDC63dD602F4Fd65A218DCa8cf5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d004e3fbd8d598b96314d7958395944f30316cff147475c1b328ed67f71e9
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 2:05:06 P.M.
From: 0x0006506bDE7140b85DED58a40D7444F84cde4821
To: 0x001e38e6bA8E8E6F45d809Aa03420aCf112369b2
Tx: 0x00110047bb518d5cc27abb0e1c9c6086e7124f6081df13de343ec644b2788679