Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 1:48:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 1:48:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 1:49:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16,100
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 286.08
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
16,100 QUAI
286.08 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0030813338982ACff58eEF9a59c831F5ffAE29fA • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 16100 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0030813338982ACff58eEF9a59c831F5ffAE29fA • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 1:48:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0030813338982ACff58eEF9a59c831F5ffAE29fA
Net sender
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003C8ea88740b5E61cC742E873C04dEe03943cb3
Net sender
Unknown type
1,100 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:47:49 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
60,000 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:46:38 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
16,100 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:49:00 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate5 tx
79,546.59 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:50:13 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
10 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:45:25 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:44:13 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
19,274.7 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:51:31 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
1.44 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:43:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:48:05 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0030813338982ACff58eEF9a59c831F5ffAE29fA
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
286.08 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:48:11 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00490027e339dd2273595c39130a0bddffd9ccf7b654f973b2822b3112b0da31
1,100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:48:05 P.M.
From: 0x003C8ea88740b5E61cC742E873C04dEe03943cb3
To: 0x0006506bDE7140b85DED58a40D7444F84cde4821
Tx: 0x0042007a85f019804aec538a5d8011599539217a288dc714ab924e17925f0183
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:48:05 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
Tx: 0x0058005ca1e26afd4cdf65eb5e34301bf12eee61259c799f79049c917b1b3bf4
10,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:48:05 P.M.
From: 0x0030813338982ACff58eEF9a59c831F5ffAE29fA
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x003100014691ee86aede3271b3e7a92858a81ded0d40152353be498392f47db8
