Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 1:37:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 1:37:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 1:38:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
98% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 23,815.29
Unexplained QUAI: 400
Explained QI: 575.18
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
75x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
24,215.29 QUAI
575.18 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 24215 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 1:37:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
23,815.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188
Net receiver
Unknown type
23,815.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
575.19 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
575.19 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 575.18 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 23,815.29 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
31,270.77 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:36:45 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
320.77 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:35:34 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
24,215.29 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:37:58 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
23,800 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:39:09 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:34:23 P.M.
-4 min
7 tx
31,118.39 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:33:12 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:40:30 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
23,114.08 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:32:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
23,815.29 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:37:23 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
287.54 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:37:55 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0056001947f6f14a7863266eb9c536e09d3b14106f58d1824f25fc6badb7157d
23,815.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:37:23 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188
Tx: 0x003e0011bf8bf4b844c00eef79f99e45bf0bd9d4c1307a7acd803c790e749331
287.64 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:37:11 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002200366c8e3139f98e4b647e7c72f9e05d45e6bb290a274e3f29ff2cf43770
