Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 1:36:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 1:36:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 1:37:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 31,670.77
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 286.95
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 81% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
31,270.77 QUAI
286.95 QI
Avg confidence
67.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002b437249167f2CEfea25349Ebb146438D27695.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 31271 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002b437249167f2CEfea25349Ebb146438D27695.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 1:36:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
31,115.77 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002b437249167f2CEfea25349Ebb146438D27695
Net sender
Unknown type
25,524.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net sender
Unknown type
591.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3
Net sender
Unknown type
400 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 31,115.77 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
320.77 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:35:34 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
31,270.77 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:36:45 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:34:23 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
24,215.29 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:37:58 P.M.
-3 min
7 tx
31,118.39 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:33:12 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
23,800 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:39:09 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
23,114.08 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:32:00 P.M.
+5 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:40:30 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
25,524.71 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:36:10 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002b437249167f2CEfea25349Ebb146438D27695
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
286.95 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:36:57 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00490023badc0c836de8d78200d9736733770b67745c74cf92bae7004819d57a
400 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:36:57 P.M.
From: 0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3
To: 0x00606Ee2fF3A26B20213906a41aa8CAfCB251237
Tx: 0x0000004bfce67986670142bf98ec27ab82fe97ce844a05152085030b23cee09f
155 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:36:10 P.M.
From: 0x002A47a7f80044fD30Ea4CaE2D15A13B1b5387d0
To: 0x0001467366abd35Be692Dd7B8cFD6A80d092C5ae
Tx: 0x000b006ee0365c2c28e53dd5016dac8f637a4628402c50b59bf34c933dafdeed
591.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:36:10 P.M.
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0017005956cf65cdc3a1771ccfce0ae5f7d1da81841fa8c33817359bd492a13d
25,524.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:36:10 P.M.
From: 0x002b437249167f2CEfea25349Ebb146438D27695
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005900439248c7fbc9a1d3a0997cf10fae0d578619ff1c916a4b76a3a160f590
4,999.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:36:10 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0046002dc015c5cc2fb83eaddf05d48363ea1c6c08ffde1bb168eb3ec143d0d9