Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 1:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 1:13:00 P.M. to 09/14/2026, 1:14:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,700
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 514.96
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
292.03 QUAI
514.96 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004d46bb973CF4160C95cd8F88cbDDb581201Dfe • 0x00288BBE13f05Caf01D9f89F52a0A2B7FC3FF1f2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 292 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004d46bb973CF4160C95cd8F88cbDDb581201Dfe • 0x00288BBE13f05Caf01D9f89F52a0A2B7FC3FF1f2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 1:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004d46bb973CF4160C95cd8F88cbDDb581201Dfe
Net sender
Unknown type
3,700 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00288BBE13f05Caf01D9f89F52a0A2B7FC3FF1f2
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,700 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
514.97 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
514.97 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 514.96 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
292.03 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:13:23 P.M.
-1 min
7 tx
1,354.55 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:12:10 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:10:58 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
3,700 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:14:36 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate6 tx
4,657.04 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:09:48 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
535.9 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:15:52 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:17:04 P.M.
-5 min
13 tx
451.78 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/14/2026, 1:08:29 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,700 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:13:31 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004d46bb973CF4160C95cd8F88cbDDb581201Dfe
To: 0x00288BBE13f05Caf01D9f89F52a0A2B7FC3FF1f2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
257.48 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:13:44 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004b003cdf170a8aeee01e0d17335fa9f0b56242b35de5695b6aeba8d4999ab3
257.48 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:13:44 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004b0028889d39081cc90cfb6b16a06111eee915be26e3ce6c13f6a8501b607e
3,700 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 1:13:31 P.M.
From: 0x004d46bb973CF4160C95cd8F88cbDDb581201Dfe
To: 0x00288BBE13f05Caf01D9f89F52a0A2B7FC3FF1f2
Tx: 0x00460058fb52d32899dcb7dbfaa969c6587e5278f1efdebb05f3ed7b889ffe17