Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 11:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 11:10:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 11:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 816.91
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 504.52
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.3x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
394.73 QUAI
504.52 QI
Avg confidence
80.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 395 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 11:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
816.91 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
506.53 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
506.53 QI across 3 visible rows
0x004020d9829d2bE4a822D3A109362f020Ba22f5D
Net receiver
Unknown type
412.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078019764cdC73cC880Eb30450d904049a5158c
Net receiver
Unknown type
404.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 504.52 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 816.91 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
394.73 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:10:25 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
1,390.8 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:09:13 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate5 tx
10,374.32 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:07:59 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
816.91 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:11:42 A.M.
-3 min
35 tx
2,220.95 QUAI • 49 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:06:43 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
486.7 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:12:53 A.M.
-4 min
56 tx
4,633.53 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:05:31 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
2,485.48 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 11:14:15 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
412.18 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:10:55 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x004020d9829d2bE4a822D3A109362f020Ba22f5D
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
412.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:10:55 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x004020d9829d2bE4a822D3A109362f020Ba22f5D
Tx: 0x007e005315a1543f5f9ed86cee53af6720cea6735697d721b0ce6b6b0e1a6fe1
252.26 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:10:30 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00120003da80f3875e57edce6adc41314fbb9fddd0d69c7948dcf7483e912690
252.26 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:10:30 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00400017bc40aa73c2ba3f51026d16108ffcc2446784f506360b1f288e43c01b
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:10:30 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0015006f51b6f7b9ce1615e32a6fb0262c5cfdd44d3a22352930253e64d46a92
404.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:10:30 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0078019764cdC73cC880Eb30450d904049a5158c
Tx: 0x006f003a6f9e67acf92e050014781fc6998fe43e7260ac21de70bb8b88ffeec8