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Spike bucket

09/14/2026, 11:05:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/14/2026, 11:05:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 11:06:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
33% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,521.62
Unexplained QUAI: 3,111.9
Explained QI: 279.75
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
56
Observable rows
7
12.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
69
Asset volume
4,633.53 QUAI
279.75 QI
Avg confidence
66.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 4634 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Low freshness drift
Recent contextThin source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 11:05:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (67% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (33%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,521.62 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6
Net sender
Unknown type
1,004.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
279.76 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
279.76 QI across 1 visible row
0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Net sender
Unknown type
109.67 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,521.62 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

7 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 56. The remaining 49 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

1,004.21 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:05:29 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

7 transactions
279.75 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:05:45 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003b0044d7b72cd92e6b31fe2bcf5de4d3ba799b10ba9816ddef6f315893871d
Open txWallet profile
99.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:05:29 A.M.
From: 0x00562B64de2b7324ceB63d7d59eF7472b172cF34
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a006f82e2a55e10103b9522ce87e0078e40dcdcbb1de11f9ff3aa4ba04c19
Open txWallet profile
109.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:05:29 A.M.
From: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0044000d3fc3e93604ec9f6364d47d390ef7fb6b95717dad3652946af908ef90
Open txWallet profile
103.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:05:29 A.M.
From: 0x003Bf2Af543544F1415deA8149d24bF90C23b8b4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002100675bdce5c019d7c362bd7186c3aad01fd2568ab067f84408a991ceecb0
Open txWallet profile
102.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:05:29 A.M.
From: 0x00013a286CCE4d2D5C5b47A313977bb5B981A30b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0054004682033cff6c912de19c3bfb01da0a522f78434bd90dd3a5543a3ed175
Open txWallet profile
1,004.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:05:29 A.M.
From: 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002500401c904ba5dc83fb4478583160314af7172b034825e251179e1d2bd9f4
Open txWallet profile
103.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 11:05:29 A.M.
From: 0x00050C938E308A3192eC5D5741eFA3f7F008bEF4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00370054ac92fff6f856e8cb5ded62d7c5d4935bb225e5ebceab70944330a2b6
Open txWallet profile