Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 10:48:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 10:48:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 10:49:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 49,999.14
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 499.25
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
1.5x previous minute
1.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
30,000.5 QUAI
499.25 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 30001 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 10:48:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
Net sender
Unknown type
30,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
30,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
499.25 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 499.25 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate4 tx
30,000.5 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:48:27 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
20,000 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:47:15 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
4,336.63 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:45:53 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
19,999.14 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:49:45 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
3 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:44:41 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:50:57 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:43:30 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
20,090.24 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/14/2026, 10:52:09 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
30,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:48:23 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
19,999.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:48:58 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x0038003c701d852a5b0ff53f2dc117eb48fe41f2d951cdd6f512032b7d064a20
249.62 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:48:25 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007e006f81f1d3b1c4b0e866688ac28ab472e816f2922d98722f7ac7023b923b
249.62 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:48:25 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002c0037d3e256ba08644fd116a26161d4de7f3c4e818ab630b33e04ae7b4717
30,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 10:48:23 A.M.
From: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x00000070db331f5a6dacdf65da9913af4def339bd957464814b2bc9df2568daf