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Spike bucket

09/14/2026, 10:45:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/14/2026, 10:45:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 10:46:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

low confidence

46% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 2,000

Unexplained QUAI: 2,336.63

Explained QI: 555.98

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume

Relative context

0.3x above local average

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

4,336.63 QUAI

555.98 QI

Avg confidence

82.0%

Dominant source: etx-type

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f • 0x002c4bD32Abf0640f9e871F9f62cEeEE20C6E01d.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + low confidence + 4337 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 45

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f • 0x002c4bD32Abf0640f9e871F9f62cEeEE20C6E01d.

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence low • Source etx-type

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • Low freshness drift

Recent context • Thin source coverage

Last updated: 09/14/2026, 10:45:00 A.M.

Coverage gap high (54% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (46%)

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f

Net sender

Unknown type

2,000 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002c4bD32Abf0640f9e871F9f62cEeEE20C6E01d

Net receiver

Unknown type

2,000 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000

Net sender

Unknown type

555.99 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

Net receiver

Unknown type

555.99 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

2 repeated flows • 555.98 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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3 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 5. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.