Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 9:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 9:15:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 9:16:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 28.01
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
28.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 28 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 9:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
28.01 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
15.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
Net sender
Unknown type
12.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/14/2026, 9:14:32 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
28.01 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/14/2026, 9:15:44 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/14/2026, 9:13:21 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/14/2026, 9:16:57 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate4 tx
467.08 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/14/2026, 9:12:08 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/14/2026, 9:18:08 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/14/2026, 9:10:56 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 9:19:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
15.7 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 9:15:21 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
12.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 9:15:21 A.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005f005dad566c7894489bfa691eb283ee6003a7089da29b47e3ac40a8c12ab0
15.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 9:15:21 A.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001d003b9d545cda826eae32962b67354c490099058ba9543d277af0e849119b
