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Spike bucket

09/14/2026, 7:05:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/14/2026, 7:05:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 7:06:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

100% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 1,135.17

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Explained QI: 503.84

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Distributed activity

Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume

Relative context

2.6x above local average

0.8x next minute

Interpretation

Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.

The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

58.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

902.9 QUAI

503.84 QI

Avg confidence

63.8%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da.

Dominant behavior: mixed flow

mixed_flow + medium confidence + 903 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 35

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da.

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 33 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: healthy • Low freshness drift

Recent context • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 09/14/2026, 7:05:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 33 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.

Data reliability is supportive for current reading, with normal sample limitations.

Limits: no major freshness or provenance limiter detected in current sample

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet

Net receiver

Exchange

580.03 QUAI across 4 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da

Net sender

Unknown type

555.14 QUAI across 27 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000

Net sender

Unknown type

503.84 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

Net receiver

Unknown type

503.84 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36

Net sender

Unknown type

256.79 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

2 repeated flows • 503.84 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 580.03 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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33 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 56. The remaining 23 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.