Spike bucket
09/14/2026, 3:30:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/14/2026, 3:30:00 A.M. to 09/14/2026, 3:31:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
94% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19,999.07
Unexplained QUAI: 1,342
Explained QI: 919.89
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
21,341.07 QUAI
919.89 QI
Avg confidence
86.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 21341 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (4 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: watch • Low freshness drift
Recent context • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/14/2026, 3:30:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness and source mix support a stronger reading, while remaining sample limits still apply.
Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.
Limits: transfer sample depth is limited in the current window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
919.89 QI across 4 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
919.89 QI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
4 repeated flows • 919.89 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
1,260 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:29:34 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
21,341.07 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:30:45 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:28:23 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:31:56 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:27:12 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
21,257.54 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:33:08 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
61.93 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:25:58 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
6,115.76 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/14/2026, 3:34:20 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.07 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:30:34 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
230.04 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:30:55 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00500079581eee863cdbff885e0b935b6212dcfe8493891ff8eaac540d4af3ff
230.04 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:30:55 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0044006a7875435a34c69bc5dddb13be53b2e62561e4db3b8512b7e6ca279050
229.9 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:30:43 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0033002041cafd67cedc4225d6f695a4baf39388a5cce98881dceb0a934d86d7
229.9 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:30:43 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005b003636bbf4188d38887a26d4e96466650df5c0552fe0e808c700ee57da17
19,999.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/14/2026, 3:30:34 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x004b0060ecdc88eec4aa24b2b1793ce2cecc8b91ceadd7edb1bb1777efac9699